Thursday, 18 December 2008

18 December 2008 - UEFA Cup

WON +3.54

Match: Tottenham Hotspurs vs Spartak Moscow
Pick: Spartak Moscow +0.5 (Asian Handicap)
Odds: 2.18 (Betfair)
Stake: 3 units

Yesterday’s pick was horrible with hindsight. Aston Villa were dreadful as predicted, but surprisingly Hamburg were amazing, especially their strikers. The match just showed how shallow the Villa squad is, and Hamburg well deserved their 3-0 win. However, it was only 1 goal away from being a winning bet, so I won’t think about it too much.

Tonight I am also going for a small stakes bet, as the UEFA cup is not my speciality. Spurs have more or less secured qualification in the UEFA cup as long as they don’t lose by more than 2 goals. Spartak Moscow, however, need at least a draw and ideally a win to qualify. Their Russian domestic season has ended, so this is one last match they are playing before having a long winter break. They have been in London since last week acclimatising, and played a friendly game against Chelsea Reserves on Saturday. No doubt because of Abramovich’s connections, the coach will probably have been assisted by the Chelsea backroom staff in gathering info about Spurs.

Spurs will be playing a weakened squad, and are already suffering from many injuries as well as players being cup-tied, so it will be like the Aston Villa case last night. Spartak might not be the best team out there, but I believe they will give Tottenham a hard time and odds for Spurs are too low even if playing at home.

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