Thursday, 11 December 2008

Champions League Knockout Stage Draw

As the final round of the Champions League group stage has finished, we now eagerly look forward to the draw for the knockout round taking place on Friday.Rules state that winners of a group go in one pot, and runners up in another, where they will be drawn so that a group winner will play a group runner up. In addition, teams from the same country won't be drawn against each other, and the winner of group X won't be drawn with the runner up that was in the same group.This throws up a whole range of possibilities for Chelsea, as well as some odds. Chelsea can only draw Panathinaikos, Barcelona, Bayern Munich, Porto, and Juventus, as they are ineligible to draw against Man United, Liverpool, and Roma. However, each of the teams in the group winner pot also have their own restrictions on who they can draw from the runners up pot that Chelsea is in.With a bit of excel magic, here are the odds of Chelsea being drawn against the following teams:


Barcelona - 28.77%
Porto - 19.18%
Juventus - 19.18%
Panathinaikos - 16.44%
Bayern Munich - 16.44%

Looks like Scolari had better be having sleepless nights, as a Barca draw is most likely!!

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