WON +4.1
A very good Saturday, with both picks winning. Sunderland were amazing in their demolition of Hull, although they left it quite late. Aston Villa left it late too, and West Ham did match them for most of the match, but Villa just had that extra quality in the counter attacks that made them so dangerous. Very dodgy defending though and leaky midfield, so I will be looking to oppose Villa in the coming weeks.
Today, there are only 3 matches to choose from. The top one, of course, is Arsenal vs Liveprool, but after spending quite alot of time analyzing it I'm not going to have a bet. The reason is that the odds seem fairly priced, and I can't really see one team being very dominant over the other. I favour Arsenal, but their odds are too short for me to back against a Liverpool side that does as well on the road as at home.
Man City should be a banker against WBA, if you look at the quality on both sides. WBA don't even have a Premiership striker anymore, and will struggle to score. However, Man City have dressing room instability, and are poor of late. Also, Robinho is very doubtful for this match plus they have had to travel back from Spain on Friday. So another match to watch and observe for future weeks.
That only leaves the last fixture:
Match: Newcastle vs Tottenham Hotspurs
Pick: Newcastle win (Draw No Bet)
Odds: 1.82 (Betfair)
Stake: 5 units
Newcastle look like they are seriously shaping up and clicking together as a team. Their defense has become alot more solid in recent games, due to Kinnear imposing defensive training 4 days a week. In addition, as their attacking players come back to fitness, Owen has been getting a good supply of balls and rediscovering his deadly form. I believe Newcastle are on the cusp of turning their season around with a run of a few wins. Their 3-0 win over Portsmouth last weekend was a very convincing performance.
Tottenham have had their own revival too, but it looks to be running out of gas lately. There was the 2-2 draw midweek that followed the stalemate against Man Utd, where they didn't really create many chances. Only a few players were rested on Thursday, and it is a long way up to Newcastle. Spurs also have a defensive crisis, with King and Woodgate both big doubtfuls, and possibly no Modric, Lennon, and Jenas. Their makeshift rearguard did well last weekend, but that was against a Man Utd side that lacked any sort of incisveness.
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