LOST -5
Last night's two picks were nothing less than embarassing. Chelsea went draw/draw, and didn't even look like remotely scoring in the 1st half. Liverpool started out brightly and grabbed a goal, but were content to sit back and let Marseille pressure. The French side were very wasteful, and if they had equalized no doubt a third goal would have come easily when Liverpool push back. Sadly it ended 1-0.
I've got to learn to be patient and do more no bets. The analogy here would be playing tight in poker and folding most hands pre-flop.
Tonight, however, I've spotted one good value bet.
Match: Portsmouth vs AC Milan
Pick: AC Milan
Odds: 2.25 (Paddy Power)
Stake: 5 units
Milan are definitely a class above Portsmouth, and although they will be resting some 1st team players like Ronaldinho, they have alot of class especially in midfield. They like to play a passing game, and comments about the pitch being suited for that is reassuring, as players saying that they have now almost reached top gear as a team. Their recent form is a bit worrying, but they are against a Portsmouth side that will be missing Defoe, Diarra, and most likely Kranjcar and Campbell. Tony Adams has talked down the hype of this game, and the opinion is that he is concentrating on getting league results rather than pushing an uphill battle to try to get to the next round of the UEFA Cup. In fact, their squad is rather thin, and Adams would be hard pressed to make any meaningful substitutions during the game if the need arises. Milan, on the other hand, will be able to introduce their big guns from the bench if things don't go their way.
Victory will ensure Milan qualify, and they should definitely have the class here to do that. Plus the odds are rather nice because in European competitions, the odds of English clubs are always too short.
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